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Dynamic Individuals, Static Neighborhoods: Migration and Earnings Changes in Poor Neighborhoods

9-24-26 - 12:00pm to 9-24-26 - 1:15pm
Speaker(s)
Bryan Stuart - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Contact
Simpson, Linda
Phone
919-613-9363
Email
linda.b.simpson@duke.edu

This paper studies migration and earnings dynamics in poor neighborhoods using new administrative data linking residential location and earnings. Out-migration rates are higher in poor neighborhoods than elsewhere, and the majority of people who leave a poor neighborhood move to a richer one. Residents of poor neighborhoods also see significant earnings mobility, with average growth rates similar to richer areas. Estimates based on idiosyncratic, firm-specific pay changes show that increases in earnings are linked to migration to better neighborhoods. This results in the earnings of the cohort who lived in a poor neighborhood at baseline growing more than twice as fast as the earnings of these neighborhoods' contemporaneous residents. Overall, our results highlight an underappreciated reason why poor neighborhoods stay poor: initial residents whose earnings grow tend to move away.

Sponsor(s)
  • Social Science Research Institute (SSRI)
  • 色戒直播 Population Research Institute (DuPRI)
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